About Priors

Who runs this site, what it is and is not, and how its content gets made.

Who runs this

Priors is operated as an automated research system by its publisher, an organization named Priors. No page on this site carries an individual byline, because no individual person authors any single number or read published here — attribution is to the system and its dated, published output, not to a person.

What it is, and what it is not

Priors is a research and statistics site: measured conditional base rates, price levels, spread costs, yield snapshots, measured macro reactions, and — where the evidence supports one — a directional view carrying its own pre-registered invalidation and a publicly graded track record. This is not investment advice. Nothing on this site is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any instrument: every number here describes something that already happened, none of it is a guarantee about what happens next, and any decision to trade on it is the reader’s alone.

How content is created

Priors is an automated research system; analysis is generated by a combination of deterministic statistical engines and AI models, and every output is graded against outcomes. No page on this site is drafted or edited by a person before it publishes. How a number gets produced and how a directional view is formed and retired, in more detail, lives at Methodology.