Current stanceformed 2026-08-23 16:51 ET · latest emission is a restatement
Because
- unchanged view, appending this run's evidence: NZDUSD closed above the 0.5982 15M swingH and NZDCAD took the 1H swingH at the reopen, with the basket +0.05% since open
- the rate story stands — RBNZ's July hike (2.25% to 2.50%) against a nine-cut path, and nothing in this run's events cuts against the view
Ends if (any one)
- NZDUSD 4h closes < 0.5927
- pct: -0.5 · ccy: NZD · type: basket_move · comparator: <
- type: cb_move · bank: RBNZ · direction: cut
Episode history (1)
| Opened | Stance | Max conf. | Restatements | Closed | Closure |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 16:51 ET | bullish | low | 4 | open | — |
Expressed by
Ranked focus crosses with a NZD leg — the arithmetic lives on the focus board.
2y yield
3.59%
2026-08-24 02:20